Our betting guru Jones Knows reckons Arsenal will declare North London bragging rights on SundaySouthampton vs Wolves, Sunday 2.00pm, stay on Sky Sports activitiesI’m but to really get a deal with on each these two groups, which is proving problematic for prediction and betting functions. Having backed Southampton for relegation in the summertime, I’ve been shocked with their efficiency ranges that ought to have amounted to greater than the 4 attracts they’ve picked up.
Can they get that elusive first win right here? Well, the markets cannot cut up these two. And I’m considering alongside the identical strains. I do assume Wolves will end significantly increased than Saints come the tip of the marketing campaign however their present conversion fee in entrance of aim makes them inconceivable to fancy.Wolves have struggled for targets with simply two within the Premier League this season – an personal aim by Watford’s Francisco Sierralta and a aim from a yard out by Hee-Chan Hwang within the 2-0 win at Watford. This is regardless of making an attempt the third highest quantity of photographs this season, behind solely Manchester City and Liverpool.Wolves even have the very best anticipated targets determine this season (9.2) to again up their photographs knowledge. The distinction of -7.2 between targets scored and anticipated targets is the most important adverse distinction within the Premier League. If they begin taking these large possibilities, then an opposition crew is in hassle. I do not assume it will begin taking place right here although. A fifth consecutive draw for Southampton needs to be the play.
SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1
BETTING ANGLE: Back the 1-1 right rating (6/1 with Sky Bet)
Arsenal vs Tottenham, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky SportsMikel Arteta is now in a place of calm and tranquillity at Arsenal. Managers get to that place when understanding precisely what his finest beginning XI is and are in a position to decide it constantly.Three wins throughout all competitions with out conceding actually has put a spring within the step of everybody across the membership and has bought me firmly within the camp of eager to again them on the costs obtainable (6/5 with Sky Bet) this weekend. Meanwhile, Tottenham can depend themselves fortunate to have 9 factors on the board. An anticipated targets determine of simply 4.42 is the worst within the Premier League and factors to a clear downside with their capability to create possibilities. That merely is not ok when you could have arguably the world’s finest striker in your ranks.I’m all for the house win.The Emirates stage is firmly set for Emile Smith Rowe to showcase his expertise on Super Sunday – he’s a large worth within the numerous goalscorer markets contemplating the positions he is taken up this season in a very superior function off the primary striker for Arsenal.The 21-year-old has been one of many shoots of hope for Arsenal this marketing campaign and will rapidly change into their principal dangerman throughout all markets if discovering a little bit of type in entrance of aim. He has but to command respect within the goalscorer markets, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang taking on a large chunk of the odds. To my eye, his total sharpness in and across the field is nowhere close to the electrical ranges we now have been accustomed to seeing. Meanwhile, Smith Rowe has posted an anticipated targets determine of 0.68 this season from his seven photographs.A continuation of some of these numbers ought to end in Smith Rowe troubling the scorers at common intervals this season. And confidence ought to be flowing a bit extra after opening his account for the season off the bench towards AFC Wimbledon in midweek. His costs of 12/1 to attain first and 9/2 anytime are price following. As is the 7/1 for Arsenal to win with him scoring within the match.SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1BETTING ANGLE: Smith Rowe to attain and Arsenal to win (7/1 with Sky Bet)
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Emile Smith Rowe got here off the bench to attain Arsenal’s second aim in midweek
Crystal Palace vs Brighton, Monday 8.00pm, stay on Sky Sports activitiesBrighton dominated each Premier League conferences towards the then Roy Hodgson-managed Crystal Palace final season however didn’t win both recreation, drawing 1-1 at Selhurst Park and shedding 2-1 on the Amex to a stoppage time aim by Christian Benteke. Their photographs knowledge in these fixtures equated to a aim each 22.5 photographs – a frequent theme to their issues beneath Graham Potter. Basically, they have been having to create a lot of possibilities to attain a aim.That is one thing they’ve rectified this season as they’re now averaging a aim each eight photographs and are outperforming their anticipated targets knowledge. It’s all very not like Brighton. Whether they’ll maintain it although, is up for debate.Meanwhile, Palace beneath Patrick Vieira are trying to change into extra of a possession-based crew than beneath Hodgson. Their common possession stats are as much as virtually 50 per cent on common regardless of having confronted Chelsea and Liverpool of their first 5 Premier League video games.
Monday twenty seventh September 7:00pm
Kick off 8:00pm
So, what does this all imply for this specific encounter? A low scoring one, most likely however the markets are already effectively ready for that with simply 4/7 on supply with Sky Bet for beneath 2.5 targets. Those kinds of costs aren’t actually my fashion so I’m going to play a 66/1 shot with Sky Bet as they critically underestimate the possibilities of Wilfried Zaha getting despatched off.Zaha all the time performs on the sting, extra so now than ever together with his prickly reactions to getting fouled leaving him susceptible to an aggressive coming along with the opposition. He performed a large half within the dismissal of Japhet Tanganga within the win over Tottenham, a recreation he was booked in, which means he has now induced eight opposition pink playing cards since his Premier League debut in 2013 – essentially the most of any participant.Confrontation follows Zaha round. Four pink playing cards have been proven his method throughout his profession, with the final coming in January 2019 throughout one among his many run-ins with James Ward-Prowse. The referee that day was Andre Marriner, who takes cost of this one. All the elements are there, beneath the lights in a derby match at Selhurst Park, for Zaha to lose his cool with VAR watching like a hawk.SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1BETTING ANGLE: Wilfried Zaha to be sent-off (66/1 with Sky Bet)This weekend’s predictionsChelsea vs Manchester City – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-1Manchester United vs Aston Villa – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 2-1Everton vs Norwich – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-2Leeds vs West Ham – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-3Leicester vs Burnley – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-2Watford vs Newcastle – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 1-1Brentford vs Liverpool – JONES KNOWS PREDICTED 0-2
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