The Premier League is again and so too is our weekly predictions with our betting guru Jones Knows, offering ideas and evaluation galore on an thrilling opening weekend.
Brentford vs Arsenal, Friday 8pm, stay on Sky Sports
Friday thirteenth August 7:00pm
Kick off 8:00pm
No holding again, no leaving one via to the wicketkeeper to get my eye in, I’m releasing up the arms and swinging for the fence… Brentford are a giant worth at 18/5 with Sky Bet to begin their marketing campaign with a house win below the lights and Sky cameras in west London. Arsenal look susceptible.
The added enhance of a house crowd for golf equipment like Brentford which have a unbelievable relationship with their followers shouldn’t be underestimated when it comes to analysing Premier League matches. A easy statistical breakdown from final season clearly reveals the drop off in chance of groups successful matches at dwelling with out followers in attendance. In the 5 seasons earlier than the 2020/21 marketing campaign, the share of dwelling wins stood at 45.4 per cent. That dropped to 37.9 per cent final season.There will not be a pub at every nook of Brentford’s new floor however the dwelling followers definitely confirmed they had been well-hydrated for the job in hand through the Sky Bet Championship play-off semi-final win over Bournemouth. The place rocked that day. I anticipate an analogous degree of raucousness for their Premier League debut. Arsenal may crumble.Brentford will not concern The Gunners, who stay a staff priced up on the previous relatively than the right here and now. All the important thing metrics level in direction of Arsenal’s eighth-placed end final season being a good assumption of their true place within the league. And they’ve but to present any actual proof of their pre-season work or recruitment that mass enchancment is forthcoming.
Meanwhile, Brentford’s savvy recruitment coupled with their courageous fashion below Thomas Frank ought to give them a great alternative of strengthening the 58 per cent strike fee of promoted groups avoiding the drop within the final 4 seasons. I feel they will begin their Premier League journey with a victory.
SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1
BETTING ANGLE: Brentford to win by one objective (5/1 with Sky Bet)
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Ahead of the opening spherical of the 2021/22 Premier League season, we have a look at the most effective stats for Matchweek one’s fixtures
Manchester United vs Leeds, Saturday 12.30pmManchester United have caught my eye within the pre-season ramble – however not for constructive causes.They appear to be vastly overrated by the markets compared to Manchester City, Chelsea and Liverpool, who for my part look a degree above what United shall be bringing to the celebration below Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, regardless of some marquee signings. If the title is what the membership craves, then I can see underachievement on the horizon.I would like to take Man Utd on at brief costs within the early knockings of the season too as lots of their key gamers look a number of weeks away from full health and it is unclear whether or not Raphael Varane shall be obtainable. The 8/13 with Sky Bet is definitely swerved for a Man Utd win. There shall be higher short-price choices on the market for these wanting to construct an accumulator.Leeds turned reformed characters in direction of the tip of the season, switching their fashion of play to a extra conservative-type urgent sport that allowed their defence extra safety. In the final 15 video games of final season, Leeds solely conceded 12 objectives – the second-best defensive report within the league for that interval.During that run, they saved clear sheets in opposition to Chelsea and Manchester United whereas solely conceding as soon as to each Liverpool and Manchester City. This sport ought to mirror the second assembly between these groups final season that ended 0-0, relatively than the insanity of the primary that Man Utd received 6-2. I feel Marcelo Bielsa shall be right here for a clear sheet and the half-time right rating of 0-0 does look suitably juicy at 5/2 with Sky Bet, with Man Utd probably to be undercooked within the early knockings.SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1 BETTING ANGLE: 0-0 at half-time (5/2 with Sky Bet) Burnley vs Brighton, Saturday 3pm (PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1MILLION!)It’s all been very quiet at Burnley. Perhaps too quiet.Sean Dyche has entered the final yr of his contract and a scarcity of funding over the summer season, regardless of the membership boasting new homeowners, is a plotline that may undoubtedly thicken because the season progresses. However, we’re accustomed to a scarcity of noise or drama emanating from the corridors at Turf Moor and it is predicted that Dyche will but once more make Burnley a tricky nut to crack at this degree, grabbing sufficient factors alongside the best way to hold them above bother.A return of supporters ought to be a specific enhance for Dyche’s boys who, in the event that they fail to win right here, will equal a club-record 11 dwelling league video games with out a win, set in 1979. At the costs, I’m blissful to put money into the Clarets to finish this poor run of type with their crowd again in attendance, with the draw no wager angle at 11/10 with Sky Bet score as greater than truthful.Having the draw in your aspect as insurance coverage is smart as each conferences between these two final season had been drawn, and eight of the final 11 conferences have resulted in stalemate. Brighton are unlikely to significantly change their outcomes output with no actual star addition to their ahead line. I’m anticipating extra of the identical from them this season below Graham Potter. Easy on the attention however tame in entrance of objective.SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1BETTING ANGLE: Burnley draw no wager (11/10 with Sky Bet)Chelsea vs Crystal Palace, Saturday 3pm (PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1MILLION!)An odds-on favorite taking up a lowly-ranked staff rolling the cube with a brand new administration appointment – these aren’t the kinds of matches that get my punting juices flowing. I shall be watching on intently although to see how Crystal Palace go about their enterprise below Patrick Vieira, who by no means misplaced as a participant in opposition to Chelsea in 10 conferences within the Premier League. He’ll want to get them expertly organised in opposition to the European champions. Thomas Tuchel’s boys shall be in stranglehold mode with the ball for this one and play with their standard management as soon as in entrance.Like final season, this has led me to assume a low-scoring Chelsea win is the neatest sort of play in such a fixture, with Sky Bet providing 10/11 for Chelsea to win and below 3.5 objectives within the match – a wager that will have landed in Chelsea dwelling video games in opposition to similarly-ranked opposition like Everton, Burnley, Newcastle and Fulham final season.SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0BETTING ANGLE: Chelsea to win and below 3.5 objectives in match (10/11 with Sky Bet)Everton vs Southampton, Saturday 3pm (PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1MILLION!)Opposing objectives strikes me because the worthwhile play on this one. If Dominic Calvert-Lewin is dominated out as anticipated with a toe harm and Richarlison is not fairly prepared to begin following his exertions with Brazil at the Olympics, then it is laborious to foresee who’s going to take the probabilities for Everton. Calvert-Lewin and Richarlison had been accountable for over half of their complete objective output final season. Southampton have misplaced among the finest finishers within the division in Danny Ings, too. It might be a protracted afternoon.I am unable to think about that confidence shall be flowing in both camp for the season opener. Ralph Hasenhuttl has talked a few change of fashion amid his want to shore up his leaky defence, which is rarely a great signal from a supervisor who revolves his regular calls for round highly-energetic and entertaining soccer. Meanwhile, Rafa Benitez shall be looking a clear sheet in typical Benitez trend on his first outing as Everton boss.I’ve backed downward-trending Southampton for relegation this season. A low-scoring dwelling win will get my vote right here.SCORE PREDICTION: 1-0BETTING ANGLE: Under 1.5 objectives (5/2 with Sky Bet)Leicester vs Wolves, Saturday 3pm (PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1MILLION!)Business as standard is anticipated for Brendan Rodgers and his likeable Leicester staff this season and though a go to from Bruno Lage’s Wolves comes with the unknowns about it, three factors ought to be firmly on the menu for the house aspect.Leicester have spent 567 days within the high 4 during the last two seasons, together with probably the most days of any staff final season. I anticipate them to be pushing Manchester United all the best way for that fourth spot once more this season.One participant that ought to hit the bottom working is Harvey Barnes, who seemed in electrical type in Leicester’s Community Shield victory over Manchester City final weekend. Barnes had to watch the ultimate three months of final season from the stands after struggling a knee harm however did not present any long-term points in his 70 minutes at Wembley, the place he lower inside off the left in harmful trend and was unfortunate not to generate a higher-than-expected objective determine together with his three photographs on objective. He appears to be like an fascinating proposition to open the scoring this weekend.SCORE PREDICTION: 2-0BETTING ANGLE: Harvey Barnes to rating first (5/1 with Sky Bet)Watford vs Aston Villa, Saturday 3pm (PLAY SUPER 6 TO WIN £1MILLION!)Since Xisco Munoz was appointed in February, Watford received 18 of 26 their Championship video games, taking extra factors than another Championship aspect (57) in that interval as they relentlessly grabbed the second computerized promotion spot. It was a season constructed on a powerful rearguard, the most effective defence within the Championship final season, conceding simply 30 objectives. This shall be a giant step for Munoz although. Rarely do promoted groups that play defensive soccer flourish below such an inexperienced boss and he should know he is in all probability solely six video games away from the sack at any level this season.Saying that, Dean Smith might be below related stress to ship outcomes after the membership reinvested the cash generated from the Jack Grealish sale. A frontline of Ollie Watkins, Danny Ings, Emiliano Buendia and Leon Bailey is an thrilling prospect. However, such upheaval hardly ever has an immediate affect and Villa seem like a staff to me that may steadily enhance because the season wears on. I’m on the fence right here.SCORE PREDICTION: 1-1BETTING ANGLE: Back the draw (23/10 with Sky Bet)Norwich vs Liverpool, Saturday 5.30pm, stay on Sky Sports
Saturday 14th August 5:00pm
Kick off 5:30pm
A brand new season means everybody begins afresh but it surely’s laborious to ignore Liverpool’s sturdy end to the final marketing campaign. Jurgen Klopp’s males went unbeaten of their last 10 Premier League video games final season, erasing any ideas of a interval of regression within the Klopp period. With Virgil van Dijk again, all is about up for the Reds to renew their title credentials and have interaction in a probably explosive battle at the highest with Manchester City and Chelsea. I’m positive many shall be putting Liverpool of their accumulators – and rightly so this weekend. A quick begin is anticipated at Carrow Road.
Trent Alexander-Arnold is 7/2 to have three or extra photographs
My eyes are at all times drawn to Trent Alexander-Arnold within the participant photographs market when Liverpool play a staff the place they are going to dominate the ball and get their full-backs excessive into attacking areas. In fixtures in opposition to Sheffield United, West Brom, Burnley and Newcastle final season, Alexander-Arnold averaged 2.8 photographs per 90 minutes, displaying he is not afraid to have long-distance efforts on objective.When factoring in that common in opposition to the present odds obtainable of seven/2 with Sky Bet for him to register three photographs or extra on objective, it definitely resembles an fascinating worth play.SCORE PREDICTION: 0-3BETTING ANGLE: Trent Alexander-Arnold to have three or extra photographs on objective (7/2 with Sky Bet)Newcastle vs West Ham, Sunday 2.00pm, stay on Sky Sports
Sunday fifteenth August 1:00pm
Kick off 2:00pm
The return of dwelling followers inside stadiums shall be billed for the bulk as an enormous constructive. Maybe not so for these two groups although.St James’ Park is one the nice amphitheatres however whereas Mike Ashley stays in cost, it additionally has the potential and menace to develop into a hindrance for the staff if issues aren’t going swimmingly on the pitch. And for a membership that haven’t taken 45 factors over a course of the season for seven years, possibilities of unrest look excessive particularly if Steve Bruce slips again to his unfavorable methods.That might take a number of months to kick in, although, and with Allan Saint-Maximin of their aspect, they will threaten any staff within the Premier League, particularly one like West Ham who’re a tad in need of tempo via the center of their defence.The flying Frenchman brought on havoc because the Toon did the double over the Hammers final season and related is anticipated on Super Sunday. Playing via the center alongside Callum Wilson ought to see his goalscoring and shot stats enhance this marketing campaign and my considering is costs like 9/1 for him to rating first will not be round in a number of weeks if he retains stepping into these harmful central areas. I fancy him to rating in a house win.SCORE PREDICTION: 2-1BETTING ANGLE: Allan Saint-Maximin to rating first (9/1 with Sky Bet)Tottenham vs Manchester City, Sunday 4.30pm, stay on Sky Sports
Sunday fifteenth August 4:00pm
Kick off 4:30pm
Predicting soccer matches is a tough sufficient job at the most effective of instances however within the first few weeks of the season after a significant event, it actually turns into a little bit foolish. How lots of Manchester City’s England contingent are totally match for motion? Will Harry Kane make a shock return to the fold in opposition to the staff that reportedly need to break the financial institution for him? It’s all a little bit of a multitude. I’ll play secure when it comes to an outright prediction and observe the away win however with out a lot confidence.A betting angle to think about would be the quantity of alternatives falling the best way of the Manchester City centre-backs this season. With Jack Grealish within the aspect, the foul rely goes to undergo the roof when you think about simply how a lot territory City get pleasure from in matches. Pep Guardiola’s staff aren’t afraid of going direct from dead-ball conditions so John Stones and Ruben Dias might be worth performs to think about within the photographs and objective markets within the subsequent few weeks with Grealish on the pitch. As Dias is the larger worth right here, I’ll again him, making it an absolute stone-cold certainty that Stones will discover the web.SCORE PREDICTION: 0-2BETTING ANGLE: Ruben Dias to rating anytime (10/1 with Sky Bet)